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#30833 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 07.Jul.2005)
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0300Z FRI JUL 08 2005

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS UPGRADED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDANA DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS... VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE
AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN
AND GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINING PROVINCES OF CUBA INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND PINAR
DEL RIO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND
FLORIDA BAY.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO
LONGBOAT KEY.

AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI IS CANCELLED. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF JAMAICA AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. WARNINGS
IN JAMAICA WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED FRIDAY MORNING.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DENNIS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 77.6W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 70SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 77.6W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 77.1W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.2N 79.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 70SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.0N 81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.8N 83.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.8N 84.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.5N 87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 35.5N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 38.5N 86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 77.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN