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| #30888 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 08.Jul.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 0900Z FRI JUL 08 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS... VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY. AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 79.1W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 75SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 79.1W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 78.4W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N 80.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 70SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.8N 82.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.8N 84.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.7N 85.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.5N 88.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 36.6N 89.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 39.5N 86.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 79.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA |
