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| #32418 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:11 PM 12.Jul.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST TUE JUL 12 2005 ...EMILY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AND MOVING WESTWARD... ...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO... AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR TOBAGO TO A HURRICANE WARNING...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR TRINIDAD. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS... TOBAGO...GRENADA...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...AND ST. LUCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TRINIDAD. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES... 590 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS AND ABOUT 450 MILES... 720 KM...EAST OF TRINIDAD. EMILY IS MOVING JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE REACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND EMILY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...10.7 N... 54.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER KNABB |
