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| #3269 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:30 PM 31.Jul.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT JUL 31 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS DISORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES... 185 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ON SUNDAY. DATA FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.4 N... 78.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
