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| #33459 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 17.Jul.2005) TCMAT5 HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005 0900Z SUN JUL 17 2005 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA. HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE... INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO CAMPECHE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME WESTERN CUBA. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 82.0W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 35SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT.......130NE 75SE 50SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 215SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 82.0W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 81.2W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.9N 84.5W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 35SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 75SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.2N 87.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 90NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.5N 90.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. 34 KT...125NE 50SE 50SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.7N 93.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.0N 97.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 24.5N 102.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 82.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
