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| #3386 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 01.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 2100Z SUN AUG 01 2004 AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED SOUTHWARD AND NOW EXTENDS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 79.2W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 79.2W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 79.1W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.4N 78.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 33.5N 77.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.7N 75.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 41.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 25NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 46.0N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 79.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
