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| #34345 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 20.Jul.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2005 ...EMILY STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER SOUTHWARD TO LA PESCA MEXICO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 110 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MONTERREY MEXICO AND ABOUT 180 MILES... 290 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH... 17 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT... BRINGING EMILY FARTHER INLAND AND OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVERNIGHT... AND EMILY WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUE IN RAINBANDS WELL NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER... BETWEEN MONTERREY MEXICO AND THE TEXAS BORDER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER NORTHEAST MEXICO... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SINCE 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY... MONTERREY MEXICO... LOCATED ON THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS... HAS RECEIVED 3.39 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...25.0 N...100.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER KNABB |
