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| #34552 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:08 PM 21.Jul.2005) TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT THU JUL 21 2005 THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITY OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS AT LEAST 40 KT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS INCREASED DURING THE FIRST 48 HOURS BUT REMAINS 60 KT AT DAYS THREE THROUGH FIVE. INITIAL MOTION IS 310/12... AND THE TRACK FORECAST REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0000Z 25.8N 76.0W 40 KT 12HR VT 22/0600Z 26.3N 76.8W 45 KT 24HR VT 22/1800Z 27.5N 77.5W 50 KT 36HR VT 23/0600Z 28.5N 77.6W 55 KT 48HR VT 23/1800Z 29.0N 77.0W 55 KT 72HR VT 24/1800Z 29.0N 76.5W 60 KT 96HR VT 25/1800Z 28.5N 76.0W 60 KT 120HR VT 26/1800Z 28.0N 76.5W 60 KT |
