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| #3459 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 02.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 0900Z MON AUG 02 2004 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 79.5W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 79.5W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 79.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.2N 79.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 90SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 33.4N 77.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 35.3N 74.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 37.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 43.0N 59.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 49.0N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 79.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH |
