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#3493 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 02.Aug.2004)
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004
1500Z MON AUG 02 2004

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO OREGON
INLET NORTH CAROLINA.

AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 78.7W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 60SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 78.7W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 79.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.1N 78.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 33.8N 76.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 35.8N 73.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 38.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 51.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 78.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN