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#34968 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:28 PM 23.Jul.2005)
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072005
2100Z SAT JUL 23 2005

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA
NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO NORTHWARD TO
LA CRUZ.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 93.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 93.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 92.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.9N 94.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.4N 96.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.1N 97.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.9N 98.8W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 22.5N 101.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 93.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

FORECASTER STEWART