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| #34972 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 23.Jul.2005) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORMS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCH ISSUED FOR EASTERN MEXICO... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 93.2 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES... 290 KM... WEST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO AND ABOUT 295 MILES... 475 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY EARLY SUNDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED BY HURRICANE EMILY. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...19.4 N... 93.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART |
