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| #35226 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 24.Jul.2005) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062005 0300Z MON JUL 25 2005 INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANKLIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 71.6W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 75SE 60SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 100SE 75SW 25NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 71.6W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 71.5W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.8N 71.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 75SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.0N 70.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 31.7N 68.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 32.5N 67.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 34.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 36.5N 61.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 40.0N 55.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 71.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
