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| #355379 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:46 AM 27.Jun.2010) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 700 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 ...ALEX CONTINUES MOVING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 89.9W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM W OF CHETUMAL MEXICO ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... ALEX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND... AND ALEX COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING. RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY AFTER ALEX MOVES BACK OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OFF THE COAST OF THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE AS ALEX WEAKENS AND MOVES FARTHER INLAND THIS MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
