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| #3617 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 AM 03.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004 ...ALEX STRENGTHENS SOME MORE AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST... AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX IS FORECAST TO PASS VERY NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS LATER TODAY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT ANY MOTION TO THE LEFT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. REPORTS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS IN WILMINGTON AND NEWPORT NORTH CAROLINA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES. THE NOAA BUOY NEAR FRYING PAN SHOALS NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH WITH A GUST OF 47 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF NEAR 40 MPH HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR WILMINGTON. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON ATLANTIC SHORELINES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED INSIDE PAMLICO SOUND. HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...33.5 N... 76.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
