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| #3619 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 03.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 0900Z TUE AUG 03 2004 AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 76.9W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 76.9W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 77.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 34.6N 75.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 36.3N 72.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 37.8N 68.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 39.4N 63.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 44.0N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 300SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N 76.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
