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| #362499 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 22.Jul.2010) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 0300 UTC FRI JUL 23 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO DEERFIELD BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTEREST ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BONNIE. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 76.5W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 76.5W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 75.9W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.4N 78.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.4N 81.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.5N 84.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 27.6N 87.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.0N 91.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 33.0N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 35.5N 92.5W...INLAND POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 76.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
