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| #3649 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 03.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004 ...ALEX A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AS IT PARALLELS THE OUTER BANKS... AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A SMALL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS. HOWEVER...ANY MOTION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE OVER THE OUTER BANKS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON ATLANTIC SHORELINES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED INSIDE PAMLICO SOUND. HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER BANKS THIS AFTERNOON. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...34.7 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM EDT AND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
