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| #3650 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 03.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 1500Z TUE AUG 03 2004 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 75.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 75.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 76.4W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 35.9N 73.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.4N 70.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 38.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 39.5N 61.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 44.5N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED/ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 75.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
