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| #365667 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 03.Aug.2010) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 1500 UTC TUE AUG 03 2010 INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ILSNADS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF COLIN. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 49.5W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 49.5W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 48.5W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.0N 52.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N 56.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.3N 60.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.2N 63.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 35SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 26.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 29.0N 70.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 49.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
