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| #366674 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 06.Aug.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 500 PM AST FRI AUG 06 2010 ...COLIN LOSES SOME ORGANIZATION AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.3N 66.8W ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA LATE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT COLIN HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA ON SATURDAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
