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| #366877 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:37 PM 07.Aug.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 200 PM AST SAT AUG 07 2010 ...COLIN BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...MEANDERING SOUTH OF BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.0N 65.8W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST. COLIN HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER TODAY. BECAUSE COLIN HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ITS ANTICIPATED EFFECTS IN BERMUDA HAVE BEEN DELAYED UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLIGHT STRENGTHENING ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE HAS RISEN TO 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
