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| #367122 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 08.Aug.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 1100 AM AST SUN AUG 08 2010 ...COLIN MOVING NEAR BERMUDA...WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.0N 65.6W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... COLIN WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE AWAY FROM THE ISLAND LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...COLIN COULD DEGENERATE TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER BERMUDA TODAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
