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| #367152 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:40 PM 08.Aug.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 200 PM AST SUN AUG 08 2010 ...COLIN LOSING ORGANIZATION...COULD DISSIPATE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.4N 65.6W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1015 MB...29.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF COLIN CONTINUES TO BECOME LESS DEFINED. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...COLIN COULD DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...COLIN WILL MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...COLIN COULD DEGENERATE TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1015 MB...29.97 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
