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| #370339 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 22.Aug.2010) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010 1500 UTC SUN AUG 22 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 34.1W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 34.1W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 33.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.0N 35.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.8N 38.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.7N 40.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.9N 43.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 45NW. 34 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 105NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 22.0N 53.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 24.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 34.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
