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| #371389 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 26.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0900 UTC THU AUG 26 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 34.8W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 34.8W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 34.1W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.7N 37.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N 40.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N 43.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.7N 47.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N 52.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 22.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 34.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN |
