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| #371684 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 27.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1500 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. RESIDENTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 43.6W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 30SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 43.6W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 42.6W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.8N 45.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.3N 49.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.8N 53.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT... 85NE 75SE 60SW 85NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.8N 60.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.5N 64.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 43.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
