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| #371873 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 28.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS ...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA * ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 50.1W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 45SE 15SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 50.1W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 49.2W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.0N 52.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 20SE 0SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 55SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.5N 55.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.2N 58.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.2N 60.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.8N 64.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 50.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN |
