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#372293 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 29.Aug.2010)
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0300 UTC MON AUG 30 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 61.1W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 61.1W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 62.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.6N 64.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.1N 66.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.8N 68.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 34.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 61.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN