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| #372486 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 30.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 2100 UTC MON AUG 30 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING..AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANGUILLA. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE WILL DISCONTINUE THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY AT 600 PM AST...2200 UTC. THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 64.7W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..320NE 170SE 100SW 160NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 64.7W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 64.2W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.2N 66.3W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.7N 68.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.4N 70.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.8N 72.1W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.6N 74.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 38.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 45.5N 63.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 64.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
