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| #372733 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 31.Aug.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 2100 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO SURF CITY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS * CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY INTERESTS FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 68.8W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 90SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..470NE 240SE 180SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 68.8W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 68.3W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.3N 70.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N 72.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.0N 74.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 44.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 56.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 68.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
