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| #372859 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 01.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0900 UTC WED SEP 01 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF VIRGINIA FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO PARRAMORE ISLAND. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 71.2W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..440NE 300SE 210SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 71.2W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 70.6W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.8N 72.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.5N 74.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.3N 75.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.6N 74.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 42.0N 68.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 175SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 50.0N 61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 57.0N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 71.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
