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| #3733 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:19 PM 03.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 0300Z WED AUG 04 2004 ALL WARNINGS FOR COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS...WERE DISCONTINUED AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 72.8W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 40SE 30SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 75SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 150SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 72.8W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 73.8W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.4N 70.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 40SE 30SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 38.6N 66.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 50SE 25SW 0NW. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 0NE 200SE 150SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 40.7N 61.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 50SE 25SW 0NW. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 0NE 200SE 150SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 43.3N 54.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 0NE 200SE 150SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 45.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 0NE 200SE 150SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 44.0N 20.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 48.0N 10.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N 72.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
