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| #3738 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 03.Aug.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST TUE AUG 03 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING CLOSER TO THE LESSER ANTILLES... ...HEAVY SQUALLS WILL AFFECT THE ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE ...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES... 135 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...EAST OF ST. LUCIA. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE CENTER MAY BE TRYING TO REFORM A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ON THIS TRACK THE CYCLONE WILL BE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY. LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1000 FEET. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...13.6 N... 58.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER STEWART |
