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#3739 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 03.Aug.2004)
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004
0300Z WED AUG 04 2004

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE
...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 58.3W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 58.3W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 57.3W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N 61.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.3N 64.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.7N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.3N 69.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 27.0N 70.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 30.5N 70.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 58.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART