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| #3744 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:42 AM 04.Aug.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM AST WED AUG 04 2004 ...POORLY-DEFINED TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES...HEAVY SQUALLS WILL AFFECT THE ISLANDS TODAY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE ...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF ST. LUCIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE NOW OCCURRING OVER BARBADOS...AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY. LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1000 FEET. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS MORNING. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.82 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...13.7 N... 59.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN |
