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| #37444 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 04.Aug.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005 2100Z THU AUG 04 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 34.5W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 34.5W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 34.0W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.0N 36.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.5N 38.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.0N 40.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.5N 42.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 53.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 34.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |
