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| #375784 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 13.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 1500 UTC MON SEP 13 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO... FOGO...AND BRAVA TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 26.1W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 26.1W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 25.6W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.6N 27.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.7N 29.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N 31.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.6N 33.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.8N 37.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N 43.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.5N 47.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 26.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN |
