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| #376063 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 14.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 2100 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 30.2W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 30.2W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 29.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.8N 31.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 33.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 95SE 75SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.3N 35.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.8N 39.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 40SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 29.1N 50.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 33.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 30.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
