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| #376676 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 17.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 0900 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 45.1W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 45.1W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 44.2W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.0N 47.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 27.2N 50.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 29.7N 51.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.4N 52.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 36.0N 49.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N 44.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 45.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
