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| #376829 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 17.Sep.2010) TCMAT2 HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010 2100 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 48.2W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 300SE 270SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 48.2W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 47.4W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.9N 50.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 29.6N 51.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.5N 52.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.8N 51.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.2N 47.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 43.0N 43.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 48.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
