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| #377707 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 21.Sep.2010) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010 0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 31.8W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 35NE 35SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 31.8W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 31.8W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.0N 31.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.4N 31.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.7N 31.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N 32.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.8N 34.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.5N 35.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.5N 37.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 31.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN |
