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#378184 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 23.Sep.2010)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
0900 UTC THU SEP 23 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 29.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 29.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 29.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.1N 29.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.5N 29.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.1N 30.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.0N 31.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 21.5N 32.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 23.5N 35.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 26.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 29.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN