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| #378688 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:38 PM 25.Sep.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010 100 PM CDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...MATTHEW WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER BELIZE...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.7N 88.6W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BELIZE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT MATTHEW HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. AT 1 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.6 WEST. MATTHEW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH MATTHEW FARTHER INLAND OVER BELIZE AND GUATEMALA DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN SQUALLS COULD STILL OCCUR TODAY OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. RAINFALL...MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...BELIZE...GUATEMALA... AND THE MEXICAN STATE OF CHIAPAS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA EVEN AFTER MATTHEW DISSIPATES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
