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| #378726 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 25.Sep.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010 400 PM CDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...LARGE CIRCULATION OF MATTHEW DRENCHING CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 89.4W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SW OF CHETUMAL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. HOWEVER...MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE NEXT DAY OT TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND MATTHEW WILL LIKELY BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR TWO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE MEXICAN STATE OF CHIAPAS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA EVEN AFTER MATTHEW DISSIPATES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
