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| #38081 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 07.Aug.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005 0900Z SUN AUG 07 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 44.7W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 44.7W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 44.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N 46.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.7N 48.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.4N 50.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.2N 52.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.5N 55.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 25.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 28.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 44.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
