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| #38209 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 07.Aug.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005 2100Z SUN AUG 07 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 46.5W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 46.5W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 46.0W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.7N 47.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.4N 49.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 51.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.8N 53.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 32.5N 58.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 46.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
