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| #382195 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 10.Oct.2010) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010 0900 UTC SUN OCT 10 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 45.0W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 34 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 45NE 90SE 45SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 180SE 120SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 480SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 45.0W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 46.8W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 38.1N 39.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 75SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...105NE 150SE 135SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 41.5N 32.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 135SE 135SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 43.4N 27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...105NE 105SE 135SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 42.4N 25.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 39.5N 23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 60SE 75SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 37.0N 21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 36.5N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N 45.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
