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| #38351 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 08.Aug.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005 1500Z MON AUG 08 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 50.7W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 50.7W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 49.9W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.9N 52.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 54.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.0N 56.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.6N 58.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.5N 63.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 29.0N 66.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 50.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z FORECASTER KNABB |
