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| #385264 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:53 AM 25.Oct.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICHARD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010 700 AM CDT MON OCT 25 2010 ...RICHARD CONTINUES WEAKENING INLAND OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 89.9W ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICHARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. RICHARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICHARD WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY AND INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND RICHARD WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA...AND THE MEXICAN STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND CAMPECHE...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 10 INCHES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER BELIZE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND CAMPECHE...AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN GUATEMALA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS |
